Parlay Point Spread

  • Parlay Calculator Parlay calculator will determine what the payout should be on a sports betting wager. Knowing the odds for the parlay know how much money you will win.-How to use the Parlay Calculator: Enter the price, you do not have to enter the plus sign. ( Enter favorite prices with the minus sign Example (-110) ) Do not enter a factor.
  • Best Parlay Odds. It’s always important to get good odds and prices no matter what type of bettor you are. But let’s keep things in perspective when talking parlay odds. Getting better payout odds on your 15 team parlay is like getting your powerball ticket at 25% off.

Any point spread tie reduces to the next lowest number of teams in the parlay. The odds for the number of teams placed in a parlay are based on the pay table below when the selections (point spreads and totals for football and basketball, games and segments) have a default line of -110. Listed below is the BetMGM/Borgata Online pay table. Say you are considering a two-team parlay linking two point spread wagers listed at -110 odds: If you place either of these bets as an individual $100 wager, you stand to return $191; If you take them both individually, you would risk $200 for a potential $382 payout. Calculating parlay odds can be difficult because different sportsbooks employ different formulas, and the types of bets can vary so greatly. What we do know is that Michigan sportsbooks consider both the currently posted odds on the individual bets and the probability of picking winners in the number of games that are part of the parlay to.

A parlay, accumulator (or acca), combo bet or multi is a single bet that links together two or more individual wagers and is dependent on all of those wagers winning together. The benefit of the parlay is that there are much higher payoffs than placing each individual bet separately, since the difficulty of hitting all of them is much higher. If any of the bets in the parlay lose, the entire parlay loses. If any of the plays in the parlay ties, or 'pushes', the parlay reverts to a lower number of teams with the odds reducing accordingly.

Spread

Odds and payout[edit]

Parlay bets are paid out at odds higher than the typical single game bet, but still below the 'true' odds. For instance, a common 2-team NFL parlay based entirely on the spread generally has a payout of 2.6:1.[citation needed] In reality however, if one assumes that each single game bet is 50/50, the true payout should instead be 3:1 (10% expected value for the house). A house may average 20-30% profit on spread parlays compared to perhaps 4.5% profit on individual sports mix parlay bets.

Aside from 'spread' parlays, another way to parlay is to bet on two or more teams simply winning straight up. In order to calculate the payout of this parlay, one must multiply out the payout for all games. For example, if 3 teams are -385 favorites, a successful parlay on all 3 teams winning would pay out at a ratio of approximately 1/1. This is because (385/485)^3 is approximately 50%.

Examples[edit]

Typical payouts for up to 10 team parlay bet[edit]

The following is an example of a traditional Las Vegas Parlay Card at William Hill Sports Book, which shows the typical payouts for an up to 10 team parlay bet based on -1.10 prices (amount won is assuming $100 is bet)[citation needed]:

NumberOddsAmount wonPayout
2 Team Parlay2.6 to 1$260$360
3 Team Parlay6 to 1$600$700
4 Team Parlay11 to 1$1,100$1,200
5 Team Parlay22 to 1$2,200$2,300
6 Team Parlay45 to 1$4,500$4,600
7 Team Parlay90 to 1$9,000$9,100
8 Team Parlay180 to 1$18,000$18,100
9 Team Parlay360 to 1$36,000$36,100
10 Team Parlay720 to 1$72,000$72,100

Parlay Point Spread Calculator

Profitability of parlays in sports betting[edit]

Parlay Calculator Point Spread

Many gamblers have mixed feelings as to whether or not parlays are a wise play. The best way to analyze if they are profitable in the long term is by calculating the expected value. The formula for expected value is: E[X] = x1p1 + x2p2 + x3p3…xkpk . Since the probability of all possible events will add up to 1 this can also be looked at as the weighted average of the event. The table below represents odds.[citation needed]

Column 1 = number of individual bets in the parlay

Column 2 = correct odds of winning with 50% chance of winning each individual bet

Column 3 = odds payout of parlay at the sportsbook

Column 4 = correct odds of winning parlay with 55% chance of winning each individual bet

Number of individual betsCorrect odds at 50%Odds payout at sportsbookCorrect odds of winning parlay at 55%
23 to 12.6 to 12.3 to 1
37 to 16 to 15.0 to 1
415 to 112 to 19.9 to 1
531 to 124 to 118.9 to 1
663 to 148 to 135.1 to 1
7127 to 192 to 164.7 to 1
8255 to 1176 to 1118.4 to 1
9511 to 1337 to 1216.1 to 1
101,023 to 1645 to 1393.8 to 1
112,047 to 11,233 to 1716.8 to 1

The table illustrates that if a 55% chance of winning each individual bet were achievable, parlays would be profitable in the long term. Compare the expected value you receive on an individual bet at a typical price of -110 with a 55% chance of winning: ((100/110+1)*.55)-1 = .05 (exactly 5 cents won for every dollar bet on average), multiplied by 11 = .55, to the expected return on the 11 game parlay ((1234/717.8)-1) = .719 (72 cents won for every dollar bet on average). In this case a parlay has a much higher expected value than individual bets with greatly increased variance in outcomes.

See also[edit]

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